Аналитики: если правительство ГройсманаЕсли провалится и второе украинское правительство, руководимое Гройсманом, то страна может отказаться от прозападного вектора, и вновь обратить свои взоры на Россию, считает разведывательно-аналитическое агентство Stratfor. Статью аналитиков приводит газета Взгляд.

«Несмотря на новый старт, новое украинское правительство сталкивается со многими старыми проблемами. Парламент остается настолько политически разделенным, что назначение Гройсмана главой кабмина зависело от нескольких внефракционных депутатов. Вместе с тем фракции «Самопомощь», «Радикальная партия» и «Батькивщина» решили не входить в коалицию», – отмечает агентство.

«Теперь, когда Яценюк и его партия больше не являются объектами общественного недовольства, в любом провале будут обвинять непосредственно Порошенко и его блок», – полагают аналитики.

То есть, если Украина «не достигнет значительного экономического роста и успехов в политических реформах, позиции Порошенко и Гройсмана ослабеют, а это приведёт к досрочным парламентским выборам», пишут они.

«Подобное развитие событий не только поставит под вопрос пакет помощи от МВФ и уже проведённые реформы, но и будет угрожать общему прозападному направлению, избранному Украиной несколько лет назад. Похожая ситуация сложилась после Оранжевой революции 2004 года, когда после широкой общественной поддержки радикальных прозападных реформ на Украине быстро наступило разочарование, что в конечном счёте привело к избранию президентом Януковича», – говорится в статье.

«Потери территории и продолжающаяся война на востоке Украины, не имеющие аналогов в истории страны, настраивают общественность категорически против возвращения в статус сателлита России. Но, тем не менее, это не гарантирует дальнейшее продолжение прозападной политики Украины», – считают эксперты.

«В конечном счёте, именно экономические, политические и военные цели нового правительства в ближайшие месяцы определят дальнейшее будущее страны», – заключают авторы.

Газета напоминает, что недавно экс-посол США в Киеве Стивен Пайфер заявил: если новое правительство «не начнёт быстро работать» и не выведет страну из политического кризиса, то Запад может отвернуться от Украины, поскольку его терпение на исходе.

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Аналитики: если правительство Гройсмана провалится, то Украина может повернуться лицом к России: 5 комментариев

  1. Lucky on 04.05.2016 at 02:50 пишет:

    A plaigensly rational answer. Good to hear from you.

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